Friday, January 24, 2020

Essay --

Good Morning. As we start off today, I have a question and you can answer it by a show of hands. How many people in this room have ever started a project that you knew you probably wouldn’t ever finish? I mean, maybe you thought to yourself, this would be really great and I should do it, but in the back of your mind, if you were being honest with yourself, you knew that you probably weren’t going to see it through to completion? So only three people out of four hundred? (Pause, laugh) There we go†¦ ok, good, I’m not alone. Over half of you have started a project that you had no intention on finishing. Me too. When my daughter was born, I got into the common practice of reading her a book before bedtime. We read and read every night. And I realized something. Many of these children’s books are just not very good. After a few months of reading to my daughter I went into my bedroom and said to my wife. â€Å"That’s it†¦ seriously.. I’m writing a children’s book!† See had heard this kind of bravado from me before. But this time I wasn’t joking around, in fact, the next day, I pulled out my laptop, in an effort to make bedtime a better experience for every dad in the world and I started writing. At the end of a blistering 2 hour writing session I had typed three pages about a courageous carrot facing his fears. I saved the file and promised myself I would complete it the next day. My daughter is now nine years old and I’m still working on completing that fourth page. There is good news for all of us that raised our hands though. And that good news is this: God finishes everything that he starts. Today, we start a brand new sermon series called Be The Church and the text for today is located in Acts 18:1-11. When I think about being the c... ... am here to announce that he can. He does. Believe it. Last night I received a text message at 2:13am. Now, I always hesitate before I look at the phone when I receive anything after midnight. It’s typically never good. It was from my aunt. We were raised in the same home and she is now 48 and she has never believed. Just about everyday of my life for the last 15 years I have prayed for her. That the Lord would fill her with the Holy Spirit, that she would discover Him. Let me read you the text that I received.. â€Å"Chris, thank you for always praying for me. I woke up in the middle of the night and just submitted to Jesus. I want to live my life for Him. Thank you. Love, Jan.† I know I’m not the only one in the room that has been praying for a loved one for a long time. Keep being the church, keep praying and remember that God always finishes what he starts. Amen.

Wednesday, January 15, 2020

Diclduybc

Unit 11 Mini-Analysis Consider the following standard and semi-log plots from the Australian Bureau of Statistics. Both graphs show the probability (in decimal form) that an Australian woman of age x will die within the next year. | | Remember to use complete sentences on each of the questions below, rounding to four decimal places where appropriate. Save the resulting document in either Word or PDF form and resubmit to the D2L dropbox. Your last name should appear in the name of the file. 1. The standard plot on the left appears exponential.However, by examining the semi-log plot on the right, we see that only a portion of the data is actually exponential. For what ages would you conclude that the probability (in decimal form) of dying in the next year is approximately exponential? Explain. I do not understand the question. The ages that are approximately exponential are 22-90 on the right graph because these lines seem to form a straight line, similar to exponential growth. 2. Assu ming that the points (44, -3) and (70, -2) are on the linear portion of the semi-log plot, create a linear function for Y=log? y) as a function of x. Make sure to show your work. -2+3/70-44 = 1/26 y=. 0384615385x+b y = . 0385x – 2. 5 3. Rewrite your semi-log plot equation from #2 so that it now shows the exponential function that we can view on the standard plot. Make sure to show your work. Y = . 0385x + -2. 5 y = 10^. 0385x * 10^-2. 5 1. 0926^x * . 0032 4. What percent does an Australian female’s probability of death (within the next year) increase every year? The probability of women’s death in Australia increases by 9. 26% each year.

Tuesday, January 7, 2020

Personal Statement On Self Harm Essay - 1071 Words

In middle school, I thought of self harm every day. Luckily, I knew that self harm was a permanent fix to a temporary problem. I thought of doing self harm to myself because I was a victim of bullying. Having never been bullied before, I didn t know how to cope with it at first. A group of five girls set out to make my life miserable, because they were jealous of the way I looked. From the start of 6th grade to the middle of 8th grade, there wasn’t a day that went by that I was not picked on. I had been pushed into lockers, tripped, and verbally abused, but I never asked for help. I didn’t think anyone could help. My classmates all saw it happening to me but they never said anything. I believe that they never stepped in, because they didn’t want it to happen to them. I started missing classes to hide out in the bathroom, and I soon started missing days because I would stay home. I missed so much that the school sent home attendance letters voicing their concern with the amount of absences I had. I received nasty notes in my locker, and on my desk s saying how I was such an annoyance to the world and that I shouldn’t be such a loser. Sometimes they would follow me down the hallways whispering things to me. I couldn’t even use the restroom in peace, because they would be standing by the sinks waiting to verbally harass me. The secretaries in the office knew me by name because I would call home daily, claiming to be sick. My parents thought I just didn t like school andShow MoreRelatedPersonal Statement On Self Harm1319 Words   |  6 PagesSelf-harm patients are at a risk for suicide whether this is an intended outcome or a result of self-harm gone wrong. 25% of people who commit suicide will have been seen in a hospital setting for a self harm injury in the past 12 months (Emerson, 2010). 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